ActiveKalshi
Regulated trading venueOrder book · Event Contracts
USA · eligibility-basedCFTC · DCM
Private company; events spanning politics, economics, sport and culture.
Source / profileMARKET INFRASTRUCTURE · LISTED EXPOSURE · PRIMARY SOURCES
Prediction Market
Industry Monitor.
Who operates the markets? Who provides access, capital or infrastructure? And when does a theme become an observable capital-markets segment?
10 providers 8 Public Companies 1 Dedicated ETF 6 Primary-source signals
01 / PROVIDER REGISTRY
A trading venue is not the same as a platform.
Active, virtual and historical providers are distinguished by market model, access and regulatory nature—not by their chosen brand description.
10 entries
ProviderType & modelAccess & regulationAssessment
ActivePolymarket
Crypto-native marketOrder book · blockchain
Jurisdiction-dependentUS re-entry through regulated infrastructure
Globally visible market-implied probabilities; the platform remains privately held.
Source / profileActiveForecastEx
Regulated trading venueComplementary YES/NO contracts
Via Interactive BrokersCFTC · DCM & DCO
Economic, climate and political Forecast Contracts integrated with broker infrastructure.
Source / profileActiveCME Group Event Contracts
Exchange infrastructureEvent Futures
Via brokersCFTC-regulated environment
Event-based contracts within established futures infrastructure.
Source / profileActiveRobinhood Prediction Markets
Distribution HubIntegrated retail access
USA · product-dependentPartner-/venue-dependent
Prediction markets as a product area within a multi-asset platform.
Source / profileActive / special modelPredictIt
Political prediction marketCentral marketplace
USA · limitedHistorical academic framework
Politics-focused markets; regulatory status must be tracked separately.
Source / profileActiveMetaculus
Forecasting CommunityAggregated forecasts
GlobalNot a conventional real-money market
Research and community forecasts rather than tradable Event Contracts.
Source / profileActiveManifold
Virtual marketPlay money / community
GlobalVirtual environment
Low access threshold; suitable for studying market mechanics.
Source / profileHistoricalTradeSports / Intrade
Event Future ExchangePeer-to-peer · order book
DiscontinuedHistorical regulatory case
A key reference for political and economic Event Contracts and market microstructure.
Source / profileHistoricalRedmonitor
Regulated trading platformBinary financial contracts
DiscontinuedAustrian supervision
An important European precedent for tradable information and binary derivatives.
Source / profileCOVERAGE LOGIC
A theme becomes an industry
when its infrastructure becomes observable.
Providers reveal market supply. Publicly listed companies reveal capital and distribution. ETFs reveal packaging. Filings provide the verifiable signals.
swarmalpha Theme Tracker